TLT
Forecast · 20-day horizon · 2026-05-31 · back
Relative strength
+8.65%
vs basket · rank #3
Current
$85.76
Forecast (median)
$86.59
raw / biased reference
HIGHoutperformRECOMMENDED
Forecast cone
historymedian forecast50% band80% band
Shaded fan = range across 30 sampled futures. Wide cone = high uncertainty.
Why this rank
TLT's raw forecast is +0.97%, and the watchlist basket mean is -7.69%. Kronos is broadly bearish on US equities, so we don't trade raw direction — we trade who beats the pack. Subtracting the basket mean gives a relative strength of +8.65%, meaning TLT is expected to outperform the watchlist (rank #3 of 15).
Path agreement: +93.33% — how much the 30 sampled futures agree on direction. Lower agreement means a wider, less certain cone.
Past predictions
| Date | Predicted rel | Actual rel | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | +8.65% | — | — |
| 2026-05-29 | +8.90% | — | — |