XLF
Forecast · 20-day horizon · 2026-05-31 · back
Relative strength
+7.97%
vs basket · rank #4
Current
$51.58
Forecast (median)
$51.73
raw / biased reference
MEDIUMoutperformRECOMMENDED
Forecast cone
historymedian forecast50% band80% band
Shaded fan = range across 30 sampled futures. Wide cone = high uncertainty.
Why this rank
XLF's raw forecast is +0.28%, and the watchlist basket mean is -7.69%. Kronos is broadly bearish on US equities, so we don't trade raw direction — we trade who beats the pack. Subtracting the basket mean gives a relative strength of +7.97%, meaning XLF is expected to outperform the watchlist (rank #4 of 15).
Path agreement: +56.67% — how much the 30 sampled futures agree on direction. Lower agreement means a wider, less certain cone.
Past predictions
| Date | Predicted rel | Actual rel | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | +7.97% | — | — |
| 2026-05-29 | +7.44% | — | — |